Nate Silver: Clinton 'almost certainly' would've won before FBI letter

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Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE would likely have been elected to the White House if not for FBI Director James Comey’s October letter to Congress regarding the investigation into her private email server, statistician Nate Silver tweeted Sunday.

“Comey had a large, measurable impact on the race. Harder to say with Russia/Wikileaks because it was drip-drip-drip,” Silver said in the first of a series of tweets about Comey’s possible influence in the election.

Silver tweeted a graph showing that late-deciding voters in several swing states, including Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, did not go for Hillary Clinton.

“I’ll put it like this: Clinton would almost certainly be President-elect if the election had been held on Oct. 27 (day before Comey letter),” Silver tweeted.

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Comey in October sent a letter to lawmakers about the discovery of new emails the FBI said were potentially relevant to the investigation into Clinton’s use of a private email server while serving as secretary of State.

The emails were reportedly found during a separate FBI investigation into former Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.). Weiner is the estranged husband of one of Clinton’s top aides, Huma Abedin.

Republicans and members of Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE’s campaign seized on the new information, attempting to cast Clinton as corrupt and praising the FBI for the development.

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Then just days before the general election, Comey announced the FBI had not changed its July conclusion not to bring charges regarding Clinton’s private server.

Since the election, Clinton campaign officials have put blame on Comey for the Democratic nominee’s loss.

“There are lots of reasons why an election like this is not successful,” Clinton told donors on a conference call one week after the election. “Our analysis is that Comey’s letter raising doubts that were groundless, baseless, proven to be, stopped our momentum.”